Sol Mountain Backcountry Ski Trip

Oct 25 – Nov 3, 2026
Monashee Mountains, ~60km south of Revelstoke, BC
Lodge at ~1900m · Skiing to ~2500m
Avalanche Danger: Early Season   Details
Weather pattern: snowfall → fog/low cloud → cloud cover → fog/low cloud.
Multi-model snowfall: Models predict 4–63cm total (mean 25cm). See comparison table below.
Temperature: Temperatures relatively steady — mountain highs -10 to 4°C.
Wind: Light winds expected all week — minimal wind effect on snow quality.

Multi-Model Snowfall Comparison (cm)

DateHRDPSGDPSGFSECMWFICONMeanConfidence
Sun, Oct 254.34.33.66.76.25.0Mod (±3.1)
Mon, Oct 260.00.02.60.00.00.5High (±2.6)
Tue, Oct 27--9.33.31.82.74.3Mod (±7.5)
Wed, Oct 28--7.815.09.64.79.3Low (±10.3)
Thu, Oct 29--7.60.00.70.22.1Mod (±7.6)
Fri, Oct 30--1.30.00.20.00.4High (±1.3)
Sat, Oct 31--0.00.00.00.00.0High (±0.0)
Sun, Nov 1--12.00.00.4--4.1Low (±12.0)
Mon, Nov 2--21.00.00.0--7.0Low (±21.0)
Tue, Nov 3----0.00.0--0.0High (±0.0)
Total4.363.324.519.413.825.1±59.0
Models: HRDPS = Canadian high-res 2.5km (best for BC mountains) · GDPS = Canadian global · GFS = US global · ECMWF = European · ICON = German. Confidence: High (spread <3cm), Moderate (<10cm), Low (>10cm).

Cloud Cover — Week at a Glance

Hourly cloud cover (%) — lower is better for visibility. Hours 0–23 local time.
01234567891011121314151617181920212223Sun 25Mon 26Tue 27Wed 28Thu 29Fri 30Sat 31Sun 1Mon 2Tue 3
Clear (<30%) Variable (30–70%) Overcast (>70%)

Daily Terrain Guide

Auto-generated from forecast data. Terrain, route, and timing recommendations update with each build.
Sun, Oct 25 — Sunday
Avalanche Conditions
Alpine No rating
Treeline No rating
Below treeline No rating
Problem (type/aspect/elevation) Check avalanche.ca for current problems.
Weather summary Heavy snow. 3.6cm snow expected. 11 km/h E ridgetop wind. Treeline temp ~1°C. Freezing level 2054m.
Visibility Poor — flat light in alpine, limited ability to see terrain features
Expected red flags New snow loading on existing weak layers. Warm temps — watch for wet loose on solar aspects. Poor visibility — limited ability to spot overhead hazards. Persistent weak layers (Feb 13 SH, Jan 28 crust).
Highlights Avalanches hazard may exist where there is snow. Pack a transceiver, shovel, and probe, and factor avalanches into your trip plan. Daily avalanche forecasts will begin November 25 at 4 PM.
Travel advice Check avalanche.ca for travel advice.
Route Plan
Terrain type Mixed terrain — gladed trees offer variety and wind protection
Elevation band Below treeline / Treeline — Alpine: poor visibility likely — limited value above treeline. Treeline and below-treeline trees offer better conditions.
Favourable aspects Light winds — all aspects reasonable. South-facing aspects will soften in afternoon sun.
Bail-out conditions Warm temps — watch for wet loose on solar aspects. Poor visibility — limited ability to spot overhead hazards. Persistent weak layers (Feb 13 SH, Jan 28 crust).
Safe zones Local high points, tree islands, and dense timber. Lodge (1900m) is the primary safe zone.

Avalanche Forecast — Akamina-Badshot-Battle-Birkenhead-Blue River-Bonnington-Boundary-Brandywine-Bull-Central Selkirk-Clearwater-Clemina-Coquihalla-Crawford-Crowsnest North-Crowsnest South-Dogtooth-Duffey-East Island-East Kakwa-East Purcell-Elkford East-Elkford West-Esplanade-Flathead-Garibaldi-Goat-Gold-Grohman-Haines Pass-Harrison-Fraser-Homathko-Howson-Jordan-Kakwa-Kispiox-Kitimat-Kokanee-Kootenay Pass-Lizard-Manning-McBride-McGregor-Microwave-Sinclair-Moyie-Nass-Ningunsaw-Norns-North Bulkley-North Island-North Monashee-North Okanagan-North Selkirk-North Shore-Pine Pass-Powell River-Premier-Quesnel-Renshaw-Retallack-Robson-Rossland-Rupert-Sasquatch-Seven Sisters-Shames-Shuswap-Skagit-Sky Pilot-South Bulkley-South Chilcotin-South Island-South Okanagan-Spearhead-Stein-Stewart-St. Mary-Sugarbowl-Tantalus-Taseko-Telkwa-Tetrahedron-Tumbler-Tutshi-Valhalla-West Island-West Purcell-Whatshan-Wheaton-White Pass East-White Pass West-Ymir

Friday
Alp: Early Season
TL: Early Season
BTL: Early Season
Saturday
Alp: Early Season
TL: Early Season
BTL: Early Season
Sunday
Alp: Early Season
TL: Early Season
BTL: Early Season

Weather Summary

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Snowpack Evolution

Snowpack Evolution Through the Week:
New snow loading on Sun, Oct 25, Tue, Oct 27, Wed, Oct 28 will add stress to existing weak layers.
Significant storm loading increases storm slab and deep slab concern. Allow 24-48 hours after heavy loading for natural avalanche cycle to run and snowpack to adjust.
The Feb 13 surface hoar and Jan 28 crust/facet layers remain buried in the snowpack. New load from storm cycles may reactivate these interfaces, particularly on steep north-facing terrain above treeline. Monitor Avalanche Canada bulletins daily for updated assessments.